Which Players Will Be Most Affected by the Hall of Fames New

As Greg Maddux, Tom Glavine and Frank Thomas celebrated their inductions in Cooperstown this weekend, the Baseball Hall of Fame announced a change that will make it harder for others to join them. Instead of having 15 years of eligibility for consideration by the Baseball Writers’ Association of America (BBWAA), players will now be limited to 10.1A player becomes eligible five years after retirement. If he doesn’t receive at least 5 percent of the votes the first year, he’s excluded from future ballots.One theory is that the change is designed to exclude players like Barry Bonds and Roger Clemens, who are known or suspected to have used performance-enhancing drugs.2Retired players such as Alan Trammell who have already appeared on at least 10 ballots will be exempt from the rule. But Bonds and Clemens, who joined the ballot in 2013, won’t be. But an attempt to target Bonds and Clemens could produce collateral damage. Players such as Curt Schilling, Edgar Martinez, Mike Mussina and Larry Walker — who are not strongly associated with PED use — could also be less likely to get in.Take the case of Mussina, who received 20 percent of the vote on this year’s ballot, his first year of eligibility. He might seem like a hopeless case — players need 75 percent of the vote to be elected to the Hall of Fame. But players generally gain ground the longer they remain on the ballot. Sometimes they need the full 15 years to get there.Consider other players who received somewhere between 15 and 25 percent of the vote in their first eligible season. There were 16 such players between 1966, when the Hall of Fame began holding elections every year instead of every other one, and 2000, the most recent class of players to have exhausted their 15-year eligibility window:Two of these players, Don Drysdale and Billy Williams, gained ground quickly enough to be elected to the Hall of Fame within their first 10 eligible seasons.Another three — Bruce Sutter, Bert Blyleven and Duke Snider — were elected by the BBWAA at some point between their 11th and 15th eligible seasons.One player, Red Schoendienst, was elected later by the Veterans Committee.The 10 remaining players — Gil Hodges, Jack Morris, Roger Maris, Tommy John, Mickey Lolich, Jim Kaat, Dale Murphy, Dave Parker, Thurmon Munson and Tony Oliva — have not yet made the Hall of Fame, though some are plausible candidates for election by the Veterans Committee at a later date.So by a quick-and-dirty rendering, Mussina’s chances of getting elected to the Hall of Fame by the BBWAA have been sliced from 5 in 16 (representing the five players who made it within 15 seasons) to 2 in 16 (only Drysdale and Williams made it within their first 10 seasons). He might also have some chances with the Veterans Committee. But the Veterans Committee has been stingy about electing players in recent years. The point is that players like Mussina need all the chances they can get.We can formalize this analysis by running a set of logistic regressions that estimate a player’s likelihood of eventually making the Hall of Fame based on his performance in his first year on the BBWAA ballot. First, I ran a regression to consider whether players were selected by the BBWAA within 15 seasons.3As in the Mussina example, this regression considered all players who first appeared on the ballot between 1966 and 2000. I excluded players who were elected in their first year, or who received less than 5 percent of the vote in the first year, as these players have been automatically dropped from the ballot since 1985. Then I ran another regression to evaluate whether players made it within their first 10 eligible seasons. (Among players who first appeared on the ballot in 1966 or later, those who were elected by the BBWAA somewhere between their 11th and 15th seasons were Snider, Sutter, Blyleven and Jim Rice.)4For this regression, I included players who first appeared on the ballot from 2001 through 2005, in addition to those between 1966 and 2000, since they’ve had 10 years to be elected. Finally, I considered whether players made the Hall of Fame at all — whether through the BBWAA or the Veterans Committee.5In this case, I included all players who first appeared on the ballot from 1966 through 1995 — players who began appearing on the ballot after 1995 have not yet been eligible for consideration by the Veterans Committee, as best I can tell. For this regression only, I also included players who received less than 5 percent of the vote in their first year on the ballot — a few of these players (Richie Ashburn, Larry Doby and Ron Santo) were eventually elected by the Veterans Committee. The results are represented in the chart below.To read the chart, scan across until you find a player’s vote share in his first year of eligibility — then scan up to see where the various curves intersect it. For instance, for a player like Mussina who got 20 percent of the vote in his first year:There is a 10 percent chance he gets elected within his first 10 years of BBWAA eligibility, according to the regression analysis. (This is the yellow curve.)There is a 23 percent chance he gets elected within the 15-year eligibility window. (The red curve.)There is a 34 percent chance he gets elected by either the BBWAA or eventually by the Veterans Committee. (The blue curve.)These answers aren’t too far from the quick-and-dirty numbers that I came up with before. They suggest that Mussina is an underdog to make the Hall of Fame — but more of an underdog now that he’ll have only 10 years of eligibility to do so.What about a player — such as Bonds — who got 36 percent of the vote in his first season of eligibility?He’d have a 53 percent chance of being elected by the BBWAA within 10 years.His odds of being elected within 15 years are higher — 69 percent.He has an 89 percent chance of being elected by some means — either the BBWAA or the Veterans Committee.So a player like this will also see his chances of being elected by the BBWAA decrease with the rule change. But he has a much better backstop: The Veterans Committee has usually elected players like this even when they were bypassed by the writers. That hasn’t been true for players like Mussina.Of course, Bonds and Clemens are no ordinary cases — and this method may not do a very good job of describing their chances. There are a couple of other objections that we need to consider first, however.One is that the change in rules could affect voter behavior. Players sometimes receive a boost in their vote share in their 15th and final year of eligibility. Now, knowing that it’s their last chance, the writers could rally around a player in his 10th year instead.That might protect a few players — Snider, for instance, got 71 percent of the vote in his 10th year of eligibility and might have made it then if a few more writers thought it was their last opportunity to elect him. But Blyleven had only 48 percent of the vote in his 10th year. His case, which was pushed by stat-savvy baseball fans for years, needed some extra time to marinate.Another consideration is that rotating players off the ballot sooner could clear slots for more recently retired players. BBWAA voters are limited to naming 10 players on their ballots. A few of them might have run out of room for Mussina this year, for instance, because they were reserving space for Alan Trammell, Jack Morris, or other players between their 11th and 15th years of eligibility.Indeed, this could be of some help to players like Mussina. But there would be a more direct means of providing relief — by liberalizing or eliminating the 10-player limit. Players from the 1980s, 1990s and 2000s are badly underrepresented in the Hall of Fame relative to players who had the good fortune to be born earlier.The rule change, in other words, seems designed to make the Hall of Fame more exclusive, not less so. But how might it affect Bonds and Clemens in particular?As I mentioned, they aren’t ordinary cases. For a player like Mussina, a large fraction of the BBWAA electorate might be thought of as “swing voters” — they could live with him in the Hall of Fame or without. Given how strong feelings are on the issue of performance-enhancing drugs, the choice is likely to be much more binary for Bonds and Clemens. For that reason, their vote shares might not increase as much in future seasons. (Another PED user, Mark McGwire, has been on the ballot for eight seasons and has seen his vote share decrease in almost every one.) Personally, I’d wager a fair amount of money against Bonds or Clemens ever being elected to the Hall of Fame by the writers, whether in 10 years or 15.Nevertheless, baseball’s hive mind could change its stance on PED use with the benefit of hindsight. It’s not that hard to conceive of alternate realities. NFL players who were suspended for PED use, like the former San Diego Chargers linebacker Shawne Merriman, barely seem to suffer any lasting damage to their reputations. (Merriman made the Pro Bowl in 2006, the same year he was suspended for four games.)One scenario could involve a known PED user who is otherwise a more sympathetic case than Bonds or Clemens making the Hall of Fame.6Or a player who is already in the Hall of Fame could disclose his PED use. For instance, Andy Pettitte, who admitted to using human growth hormone, is due to become eligible for the Hall of Fame in 2019. Pettitte’s case is not clear-cut on the statistical merits, but suppose he made it in 2023, his fifth year on the ballot. Under the old rules, Bonds and Clemens would have had a few years left on the ballot with that precedent in place. Now, they’ll already have exhausted their eligibility.Bonds and Clemens would still be eligible for consideration by the Veterans Committee. But whatever misgivings you might have about the BBWAA, the Veterans Committee has been far more problematic. Its rules are constantly changing, its process is not very transparent, and it has oscillated from being far too liberal to being very stingy about letting in players. Depending on the rules it drew up, the Hall of Fame could design a Veterans Committee that was relatively sympathetic to Bonds or Clemens — or firmly opposed to their election.Another theory is that the Hall of Fame doesn’t have strong feelings about Bonds and Clemens per se, but implemented the rule change in the hopes of putting the PED issue behind it sooner. It’s certainly not good advertising for Cooperstown when discussions are dominated every year by arguments over steroids.But these cases won’t go away anytime soon. Pettitte will become eligible in a few years — and a few years after him, Alex Rodriguez. Ryan Braun, another known PED user who could eventually build Hall of Fame statistics, is many years from retirement. In the meantime, players like Mussina could be caught in the crossfire. read more

Ohio State track brings in best recruiting class in years

When announcing the signings of nine recruits who will be coming to Ohio State as members of the men’s track and field team next season, OSU interim coach Ed Beathea said he believes the future of the team he is coaching is bright. “This is the best recruiting class we have put together in my time at Ohio State,” Beathea said in a press release. OSU will welcome a broad range of recruits in its incoming class. The class includes five athletes from Ohio, but also adds four out-of-state recruits. Among the class are three distance runners, two sprinters, one hurdler, two throwers and one multi-event athlete. Donovan Robertson, a hurdler from Berea, Ohio, headlines the class. Robertson, the 2011 Ohio Gatorade Track and Field Athlete of the Year, has many accomplishments to his name. This year, Robertson set the indoor national record in the 60-meter hurdles, completing the event in 7.57 seconds. Robertson is also the defending state outdoor champion in the 110-meter hurdles and 300-meter hurdles, and was named to the 2011 USA Today All-USA track and field team. Beathea said he recognized the significance of signing Robertson. “Donovan is one of the most talented signees in OSU history,” Beathea said in the press release. “He will have an instant impact on our conference and the country.” The group of in-state recruits is also highlighted by distance runners. Steven Weaver, from Napoleon, was the 2011 Division II state champion in the outdoor mile run and in cross country. The team also added Nicolas Pupino of Copley and Jordan Redd of Fairborn. Jack Kincade from Hilliard is the fifth in-state recruit in the class. Kincade scored 6,243 points in the decathlon last season, which was the sixth-best decathlon score among all high school athletes nationwide in 2011. OSU also lured four recruits from farther east to come west. Champ Page, a sprinter from Marlboro, Md., is a six-time Maryland state champion. Page finished the 2012 indoor season with times that ranked second nationally in the 300-meter dash with 33.93 seconds, third in the 500 meter with 63.71 seconds, and 11th in the 400 meter with 48.28 seconds. Justin Burke, a sprinter from Virginia Beach, Va., is a two-time defending outdoor state champion in the 100-meter dash, as well as in the 200 meter and 400 meter. Two throwers will also come to the Buckeyes from other states. Joseph Velez, from Providence, R.I., is joined by javelin thrower Billy Stanley from South Park, Pa. Assistant coach Kevin Mannon praised both incoming throwers. “(Velez) has the ability to make an immediate impact on the Big Ten and NCAA championships in 2013,” Mannon said in a press release. “Billy has already thrown a mark that can score at the Big Ten championships, so we expect him to be a major player for us in 2013.” read more

Ohio State womens volleyball set to open home schedule in DC Koehl

OSU women’s volleyball players get set for a serve during a game against Penn State on Oct. 31, 2014. Credit: Lantern File PhotoSt. John Arena is set to host the Ohio State women’s volleyball team for the first time this season during the 10th Annual Sports Import D.C. Koehl Classic.The 22nd-ranked Buckeyes (2-1) are scheduled to play a doubleheader on Saturday, facing off against Northern Illinois (3-1) at noon and No. 14 Florida State (2-1) at 7 p.m., before playing the Seminoles again on Sunday at 7 p.m. OSU is coming off of a second-place finish at the Rumble in the Rockies tournament in Laramie, Wyoming. The Buckeyes fell to Wyoming in their opening game, but they bounced back to defeat both Butler and South Dakota in three sets.OSU coach Geoff Carlston said he’s happy with the way his team responded to the initial loss and is ready to be at home for the first time this season.“I’m excited for the team, especially our freshmen,” Carlston said. “We played in front of a huge crowd, actually, at Wyoming, but to play in front of a large crowd that’s your home and not at a mile high is going to be much better for us.”Setter Emily Ruetter, a senior transfer from Texas Tech, said she’s excited for her first home match in a Buckeyes uniform and thinks the home crowd will give the team a boost.“It’s so much better playing on your home floor,” Ruetter said. “Based off what I’ve heard, St. John brings in quite an awesome crowd, so it’s going to be even better having all of those people here.”Junior libero Valeria León, who, along with junior middle blocker Taylor Sandbothe, was named to the all-tournament squad at the Rumble in the Rockies, is focused on helping her team more moving forward.“I don’t really care about the individual awards, I just try to make my team better,” León said. “So I’m going to keep working on that.”Team adjustmentsAs the team heads into this weekend’s games, OSU has been working on improving its blocking, shot selection and overall consistency on defense, Carlston said.“I think (in) the Wyoming match, we just sort of forgot the things that we can do, and that will happen when you’ve got people in your face,” he said. The Buckeyes had 21 shots blocked by the Cowgirls in their season-opening match.Carlston said the team has to go back to what is worked on in practice for the upcoming matches and improve overall confidence, trust and consistency.Injury reportJunior outside hitter Kylie Randall did not play in any of last weekend’s matches as she works her way back after suffering a season-ending ankle injury last season and an elbow injury that she sustained in the team’s first practices this year.There’s no timetable for Randall’s return to games, but she is practicing and Carlston is pleased with her progress.“She’s back, full-go and she’s looking pretty good, actually, for a kid who’s played six times over the last (year),” he said.The rest of the team is feeling well from a health standpoint, Carlston said.Looking aheadFollowing this weekend’s action in Columbus, OSU is set to head back out on the road for the Blackbird Invitational in Brooklyn, New York, on Sept. 11 and 12. read more

Juanfran Atleti are the club of my life I would like

first_imgAtletico Madrid full-back Juanfran hopes to renew his contract at the club that means the most to himThe former Real Madrid youth player has spent the last eight years with city rivals Atleti but will be out of contract at the end of this season.However, Juanfran remains a key member of the team and produced a great performance in their 1-0 La Liga win over Levante on Sunday.“Atleti are the club of my life, I would like to stay,” said Juanfran, according to Marca.“My hope is that the club renews me and that they still see me as a valuable player, who can put in a level of performance adequate of the team and our coach.FC Barcelona, Valencia CFMatch Preview: Barcelona vs Valencia Boro Tanchev – September 14, 2019 Is derby time in La Liga, as Barcelona welcomes Valencia to the Camp Nou Stadium tonight at 21:00 (CET).“I will never create a problem here regardless if whether I leave in the summer or in future years, this club will always mean the world to me.“I hope to do whatever the best thing is for the club and I am sure that Diego Godin and Filipe Luis will do the same, they care about the club like this too.“The players are never the most important thing about Atleti but I believe my presence here can benefit the team going forward.”Juanfran has made 325 appearances for Diego Simeone’s side across all competitions.The 34-year-old’s time at the Spanish capital has seen him win La Liga, Copa del Rey, Supercopa de España, Europa League (2x) and UEFA Super Cup (2x).last_img read more

Pogba believes United has rediscovered itself

first_imgManchester United footballer Paul Pogba believes that his team is back to the place they belong, thanks to interim coach Ole Gunnar Solskjaer.After Jose Mourinho was sacked as manager of Manchester United, the board of directors appointed Ole Gunnar Solskjaer as interim coach.And with him, the Red Devils have won their six matches played so far.This is why footballer Paul Pogba believes his team is returning to the place they belong, thanks to Solskjaer.“The way we are playing we have more possession of the ball. We know more where to attack and where to go. We have more of a pattern of play and more of a structure,” Pogba told Sky Sports News.Harry Maguire, Manchester UnitedLiverpool legend Nicol slams Harry Maguire’s Man United form Andrew Smyth – September 14, 2019 Steve Nicol believes Harry Maguire has made some “horrendous mistakes” recently, and has failed to find his best form since joining Manchester United.“That makes it easier for everyone. So I would not say it is only myself. Yes, I have scored a few goals and had a few assists but it is all the team [that deserves credit].”“It was great for us. It was great to show we are coming back and getting closer to the top,” Pogba said. “We needed points and we showed that we could beat a big team,” he added.“I wouldn’t say [we had] luck because you create your own luck. David did his job and I thank him for that.”“I think the team performance was great. We played against a good team. You cannot say they are not a good team because they have top players,” Pogba commented.“It was a great game and it was a good victory for us.”last_img read more

Warnock Rondon was the difference today

first_imgCardiff City manager Neil Warnock believes the quality of Newcastle United striker Salomon Rondon was the difference as his side lost 3-0 at St James Park.Cardiff City succumbed to a 3-0 defeat at Newcastle United on Saturday. Fabian Schar scored a brace and Ayoze Perez grabbed the third goal in stoppage time to condemn Cardiff to their third defeat in four games.Despite not finding the back of the net, Salomon Rondon played a crucial part to Newcastle’s win, including providing an assist for Perez’s goal.Warnock has been an admirer of Rondon and had admitted wanting to sign him in the summer, but ultimately failed as he moved to Newcastle instead.“I thought Rondon was the difference today. He led the line really well,” Warnock told Sky Sports.Premier LeaguePremier League Betting: Match-day 5 Stuart Heath – September 14, 2019 Going into the Premier League’s match-day five with a gap already beginning to form at the top of the league. We will take a…“I didn’t think it was a 3-0 game. I couldn’t see them breaking through until the first goal which was poor from our point of view.“We started the second half well and were dangerous and then conceded the second that killed us. We didn’t have anything drop for us and they were better than us in the final third.“Nine of the lads that played today were in the Championship last year. While we are disappointed it is not the end of the world. We looked a half decent side. I didn’t think in the last third we did enough.“There was some great defending but we could have picked a better pass out at times in the second half.”last_img read more

WestJet case threatens 26 years no measles in TCI

first_imgFacebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsApp Related Items:#26yearsnomeaslesinTCIthreatened, #magneticmedianews, #WestJetcrewmeaslesscare Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsAppTurks and Caicos, April 11, 2017 – Providenciales – The Ministry of Health explains that the possible reintroduction of measles into the country through an airline worker last month is being taken seriously and an investigation into the potential impact was launched.   The crew member from WestJest who was confirmed to have measles did not deplane when the flight from Canada landed in Providenciales.The information comes following the Ministry of Health’s investigation into the case, unofficially reported to them, but confirmed by the Canadian Public Health Agency through the assistance of PAHO.   A worker for WestJest on March 24 flew into Provo and was days later found to have had measles.   The crew member worked seven flights, and although the crew member did not deplane, because of the contact with passengers, who were visitors in the island, it is still necessary for the surveillance system to be vigilant and extra sensitive to detect any secondary cases early.Measles has not been seen in the TCI for 26 years explained the Ministry of Health, which also reported that 95% of residents are covered with the MMR vaccine.   The Surveillance team called the possible re-introduction of measles a threat to the resident population and to the over one million guests who visit annually.Health is asking anyone who believes they may have been exposed to measles to contact a primary health care clinic nurse, right away.#MagneticMediaNews#26yearsnomeaslesinTCIthreatened#WestJetcrewmeaslesscarelast_img read more

1 billion for Intels 5G business why is Apple crazy about it

first_img Close 5 Highlights From 2019 Apple Event Apple announced that it will be buying Intel’s cellular modem business for $1 billion. The transaction is expected to close by the last quarter of 2019. The acquisition would include a corporate exchange of about 2,200 employees from Intel with the transfer of IP and equipment to Apple.The envelope to the deal will enclose about 17,000 wireless patents on protocols for cellular standards, modem architecture, and operations. The deal also signs amendments stating that Intel will be allowed to develop modems for PCs, IoT devices and autonomous vehicles. An Intel sign is seen at the Intel Museum in Santa Clara, California on November 4, 2016. / AFP / JOSH EDELSONJOSH EDELSON/AFP/Getty ImagesThe acquisition will allow Apple to build 5G modems for its smartphones rather than depending on Qualcomm for the hardware. The iPhone major though signed the deal with Intel; it will rely on Qualcomm’s hardware until the patent license agreement of six years between the two companies comes to an end.Apple had been using hardware from both, Intel and Qualcomm till last year when they closed a deal with Qualcomm to solely produce cellular modems for their devices. Intel had been struggling since then without any buyer for its products. Apple CEO Tim Cook launches the Apple March 2019 event. Courtesy apple.comApple had been trying to relieve itself from all third-party collaborations and focused on in-house manufacturing of the modems. It has been working on the modem technology for years through its research and development (R&D) centres in San Diego.According to some reports, the iPhone manufacturer will be able to complete its research and development to produce its own modems by 2022. So, there might be good news for the users as the research and development on modems might bring variations in the i-devices.center_img IBTimes VideoRelated VideosMore videos Play VideoPauseMute0:00/2:55Loaded: 0%0:01Progress: 0%Stream TypeLIVE-2:55?Playback Rate1xChaptersChaptersDescriptionsdescriptions off, selectedSubtitlessubtitles settings, opens subtitles settings dialogsubtitles off, selectedAudio Trackdefault, selectedFullscreenThis is a modal window.Beginning of dialog window. Escape will cancel and close the window.TextColorWhiteBlackRedGreenBlueYellowMagentaCyanTransparencyOpaqueSemi-TransparentBackgroundColorBlackWhiteRedGreenBlueYellowMagentaCyanTransparencyOpaqueSemi-TransparentTransparentWindowColorBlackWhiteRedGreenBlueYellowMagentaCyanTransparencyTransparentSemi-TransparentOpaqueFont Size50%75%100%125%150%175%200%300%400%Text Edge StyleNoneRaisedDepressedUniformDropshadowFont FamilyProportional Sans-SerifMonospace Sans-SerifProportional SerifMonospace SerifCasualScriptSmall CapsReset restore all settings to the default valuesDoneClose Modal DialogEnd of dialog window. COPY LINKAD Loading …last_img read more

Early age drinking linked to alcohol dependence

first_imgEarly onset of drinking and intoxication may lead to heavy drinking and alcohol dependence among people, warn researchers from the Pacific Institute for Research and Evaluation in the US. Researchers concluded this in a study on the correlation between early age (less than 15 years) and contexts of first intoxication such as one’s own home, friends’ homes or outdoor settings, and the problems that arise in these contexts. For research, team studied 405 adolescent (aged 15-18 years) drinkers. Also Read – Add new books to your shelfAccording to the findings, published in the journal Substance Use & Misuse, about one-third of adolescent drinkers experienced their first intoxication by the age of 15, about one-third experienced it after 15, and about one-third had consumed alcohol but never to the stage of intoxication. In addition, drinkers reported drinking most frequently at homes, followed by outdoor settings, and then in restaurants, bars or nightclubs. The early age of first intoxication was found to be strongly linked to drinking in outdoor settings. The results of the study emphasise importance of contexts in early alcohol initiation and the resulting problems to inform development of preventive interventions specific to contexts, said Lipperman-Kreda, a researcher from the varsity. To prevent or delay early onset of drinking, more should be known about the modifiable circumstances that enable these behaviours, the study suggested.last_img read more