The fog of pandemic planning

first_img(CIDRAP Business Source Weekly Briefing) – Next week the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy hosts the second national summit on business preparedness and pandemic influenza. I have the opportunity to address 300 or more business, government, and community leaders who will convene for the common purpose of better preparing the business world for the next pandemic. As we were planning the summit several months ago, I chose to title my talk, “The Fog of Pandemic Planning,” a takeoff on the concept of the fog of war. Let me explain why the title is even more appropriate now.The “fog of war” describes the level of ambiguity in situational awareness experienced by participants in military operations. The term captures the uncertainty regarding one’s own capability and the capability and intent of the adversary during battle. The conceptual similarities between the fog of war and the fog of pandemic preparedness are unmistakable:We really don’t understand our capability as a nation or international community to respond.We have only a very general sense of what the pandemic influenza virus is capable of doing in terms of human illness or the social, political, and economic collateral damage.We can’t predict with any certainty how the next pandemic virus will behave in humans and animals.Based on many discussions with business continuity planners and risk management officials around the country (and a few from outside the United States), I believe that the private sector is walking deeper and deeper into that fog of pandemic preparedness. While the private sector has been involved in pandemic preparedness planning (to varying degrees), sustaining the effort grows harder as more time passes from when those first urgent and sometimes dramatic warnings were issued to commence planning. The more time that passes, the more the fog thickens. I’m convinced that there are more doubters about the inevitability of the next pandemic than before. What they don’t realize is that, like earthquakes, hurricanes, and tsunamis, pandemics happen.Some organizations have tried to account for all eventualities with regard to their employees, supply chains, and even customers. Typically, the single biggest challenge relates to the ability to estimate the response of government, suppliers, providers of infrastructure support such as water and electricity, workers, and respective markets. With so many unknowns, one leading business continuity planner recently noted, “Planning for a pandemic is so different from anything we’ve done in business before that we’re writing the book as we go—and it won’t be finished until the virus is finished.”One way that companies are attempting to shore up preparedness is to require their suppliers to sign affidavits indicating they have a workable pandemic plan in place. In short, most of these affidavits are not worth the paper they are printed on, because their suppliers are in no better position to account and prepare for all aspects of the pandemic than are the companies demanding the affidavits. Furthermore, determining which preparedness activities need to be undertaken by any single company quickly becomes a Rubik’s cube of possibilities, given the interdependency of each company on outside suppliers, transportation, communications, utilities, and even government leadership and direction during a crisis.Another challenge for private sector preparedness was summarized in a September 2006 report by the Department of Homeland Security. This report stated, “Eighty-five percent of critical infrastructure resources reside in the private sector, which generally lacks individual and system-wide business continuity plans specifically for catastrophic health emergencies such as pandemic influenza. Many businesses have extensive contingency plans in response to threats from diverse natural and manmade disasters. While useful for their intended purpose, these plans may prove ineffective given they do not account for the extreme health impact assumptions and containment strategies projected for a severe pandemic influenza.”Despite the complexity, every organization must consider in its plan the combination of:The direct impact of influenza on the populationThe collateral damage from a potentially collapsing global just-in-time economyThe lack of comprehensive business continuity planningThe inability of governments around the world to provide exhaustive and immediate reliefEven if we can’t solve these issues, at least we can be honest about them and develop strategies that manage expectations in line with the potential realities. This is a tough message to deliver to those who want to enhance their organizations’ preparedness. But I believe it’s a fair and accurate assessment of our current state of pandemic preparedness—and particularly in the private sector.The key is that rigid pandemic planning is self-defeating, because we can’t predict every pandemic possibility. So we have to plan for resilience. We have to plan to cope with eventualities we never thought of and therefore couldn’t plan for.Our job now is to begin burning off that fog and keep pushing forward. I can only hope our summit provides some of the sunshine needed to do that.last_img read more

Liverpool’s Alisson Becker hails Arsenal goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez

first_imgMartinez was in fine form as Arsenal beat Liverpool (Picture: AFP via Getty Images)‘But as a team, we should do better tonight, we know that. We didn’t deliver 100 per cent on the pitch and this is what we need to do in the last two games. We need to think of the next one.’The Reds have already wrapped up the Premier League title, but they have clearly dropped off in form since then, with a 4-0 defeat to Manchester City and a 1-1 draw with Burnley in the build up to the Arsenal loss.More: FootballRio Ferdinand urges Ole Gunnar Solskjaer to drop Manchester United starChelsea defender Fikayo Tomori reveals why he made U-turn over transfer deadline day moveMikel Arteta rates Thomas Partey’s chances of making his Arsenal debut vs Man CityDefeat in north London cost the Reds the chance of beating the record Premier League points total and Alisson admits that mistakes are happening that wouldn’t have occurred earlier in the season.‘We stopped doing the runs to defend, we stopped putting them under pressure, and they got confidence from that,’ said the Brazilian. ‘We started to commit silly mistakes and then we committed two individual mistakes we’re not used to committing during the season.’Liverpool have just two games left, at home to Chelsea and away at Newcastle on the final day of the season.MORE: Liverpool defender Andy Robertson hails ‘special’ Arsenal star Kieran TierneyMORE: Mikel Arteta claims Arsenal have closed the gap on Liverpool in four areasFollow Metro Sport across our social channels, on Facebook, Twitter and Instagram.For more stories like this, check our sport page. Comment Metro Sport ReporterFriday 17 Jul 2020 9:59 amShare this article via facebookShare this article via twitterShare this article via messengerShare this with Share this article via emailShare this article via flipboardCopy link10.5kShares Liverpool’s Alisson Becker hails Arsenal goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez Alisson Becker was impressed with Emi Martinez at the Emirates (Picture: AMA.Getty Images)Alisson Becker has hailed Emiliano Martinez’s performance in Arsenal’s win over Liverpool this week, saying the Argentine goalkeeper made the difference at the Emirates.The Gunners pulled off a shock 2-1 win over the Premier League champions on Wednesday night thanks to goals from Alexandre Lacazette and Reiss Nelson, bouncing back from a Sadio Mane opener.Liverpool largely had themselves to blame, with rare errors from Virgil van Dijk and Alisson leading to Arsenal’s goals, but the Brazilian ‘keeper also had some kind words for his opposite number in the Gunners goal.Martinez, who is only playing due to an injury to first choice stopper Bernd Leno, was in fine form, with a highlight reel save from a deflected Trent Alexander-Arnold shot the most memorable of a string of stops.AdvertisementAdvertisementADVERTISEMENTThe 27-year-old certainly did enough to catch the eye of Alisson, who has praised his performance in the aftermath of the game.‘We had the chances,’ Alisson told Liverpool’s official website. ‘They defended well, they dropped deep and it is more difficult to find the spaces, but we found those kinds of spaces. When we had the chances, [Emiliano] Martinez did well and sometimes we could do better. Advertisement Advertisementlast_img read more

Thenamaris Adds Aframax Newbuilding to Managed Fleet

first_imgA 2017-built Aframax tanker, Seacalm, has joined the managed fleet of Greek shipping company Thenamaris.The tanker, which was constructed by Japan’s shipbuilder Sumitomo, features a length of 237 meters and a beam of 44 meters.The tanker’s current market value stands at USD 44.2 million, according to VesselsValue data.The 112,000 DWT Seacalm became a part of Thenamaris’ 76-vessel strong fleet, which consists of 50 tankers.The company has six more ships under construction at various yards, scheduled to join the fleet in 2017 and 2018, respectively.Image Courtesy: Thenamarislast_img read more

Kissimmee River Bill Passes House

first_imgThe U.S. House of Representatives yesterday passed by voice vote Rep. Darren Soto’s bill, the Kissimmee River Wild and Scenic River Study Act of 2017 (H.R. 3961), which would designate Central Florida’s river and its tributaries in the state of Florida for study under the National Wild and Scenic Rivers System. This designation grants the river critical ecological protections.“This is a major victory for our community and for our state,” stated Rep. Darren Soto. “The historic Kissimmee River is not only the heart of Central Florida’s water drainage route, it also serves as the headwaters for our iconic Everglades and it is home to many of Florida’s endangered species.”“Over the past year, we have worked tirelessly to advance this legislation to safe guard our ecosystem. I want to thank Chairman Bishop, Ranking Member Grijalva, and colleagues in the House Committee on Natural Resources on both sides of the aisle for supporting Florida’s waterways.” After decades of restoration and spending nearly $1 billion for the Kissimmee River Restoration Project, the river has significantly improved over 63,000 acres of wetlands within the watershed and reestablished an environment suitable for fish, wildlife, and the wetland plants.H.R. 3961 protects this investment by starting the study that would include the river in the Wild and Scenic Rivers Act designation.last_img read more

More booze outlets mean more violence in South Auckland – study

first_imgNZ Herald 10 December 2012A new study has shown that violent crime and motor vehicle accidents are more prevalent in parts of South Auckland that have higher numbers of alcohol outlets than other areas.And it has recommended that local authorities consider the effects additional alcohol outlets would have on particular communities before granting new licences.The study, Alcohol outlet density is related to police events and motor vehicle accidents in Manukau City, New Zealand, was funded by the Alcohol Advisory Council and supported by the old Manukau City Council.Undertaken by academics from the Universities of Waikato and Auckland, the study focused on the Manukau area, using population, crime, crash and liquor licence data to establish whether there was a link between alcohol availability and “negative social outcomes”.The authors simultaneously assessed the relationship between alcohol outlets per capita in the Manukau area and police “events” or motor vehicle accidents.The study covered 522sq km, with a population of 330,000 and 447 alcohol outlets – 129 off-licences, 130 clubs and bars and 188 restaurants and cafes.http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10853010last_img read more

House consultation on constitutional reforms held

first_img“We want to know the sentiments of theIlonggos,” said Defensor. * amending the Constitution throughConstitutional Convention ILOILO City – The House Committee onConstitutional Amendments held a public consultation on constitutional reformsat the University of the Philippines (UP) Visayas yesterday. * amending the role of the Commissionon Appointments on the confirmation of appointments * shift from unitary to federal system Among the speakers were Cong.Ferdinand Gaite of Bayan Muna party-list, Undersecretary Jonathan Malaya of theDepartment of Interior and Local Government (DILG), former DILG officer GaryOlivar, and former congressman Neri Colmenares of Bayan Muna. * regionalization of senators * relaxing economic provisions on landand equity restrictions * filling of vacuum in thepresidential successioncenter_img Also present were former Iloilogovernor Arthur Defensor Sr. and Iloilo City’s Cong. Julienne Baronda. The following issues were presented tothe participants: * shift from presidential toparliamentary This was the second publicconsultation of the committee. The first was in Cagayan de Oro. * amending the term of office ofelected public officials The vice chairperson of the committee,Cong. Lorenz Defensor (3rd District, Iloilo) led the consultation. Defensor said more consultations wouldbe held./PNlast_img read more

Over 700 violators of Bacolod curfew nabbed

first_imgThe Bacolod City Police Office (BCPO)warned they will not hesitate to arrest those who will be caught roaming thestreets at night past the curfew hours without quarantine pass.  Lieutenant Colonel Ariel Pico,spokesperson of BCPO, said they already apprehended 728 persons for violatingthe curfew ordinance in this city from March 15 to 21. Major shopping malls in the city alsoimplemented shorter operating hours in compliance with the government directiveon general community quarantine as a measure to prevent the spread ofCOVID-19./PN BACOLOD City – Authorities here urgedresidents to just stay home and observe curfew hours to avoid catching thecoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Women wear masks as a precautionary measure against the spread of COVID-19 coronavirus in Manila on March 13, 2020. AFP Exempted from curfew measures aremedical personnel and persons needing emergency medical help; night-shiftworkers at pharmacies and drug stores; security guards; business processoutsourcing workers; public utility emergency personnel; firefighters and otherdisaster relief personnel; priests and ministers performing last sacrament orlast rites; and public utility vehicle drivers servicing all of the above. The curfew hours start from 10 p.m. to4 a.m. and non-essential entry ofpersons into or exit out of in the metro is restricted.last_img read more

NOBLE HOUSE SPORTS PERSONALITY PROFILE

first_imgName: Kaysan Jamil NinvalleAge: 11 years oldSport: Table TennisSchools Attended: Chase Academy, Mae’s SchoolKAYSAN Ninvalle was just 4 years old when he began playing table tennis in 2009, inspired by his older brother, former national junior champion, Khalil Ninvalle. Since then the Chase Academy student has been gradually sharpening his skills in his bid to advance in the sport.Earlier this year he began to build steam at the National Junior and Cadet Table Tennis Championships where he won the Boys’ Under-11, as well the Under-15 singles. He finished with a creditable second place in the Under-15 singles.Recently the youngster has been making headlines, following his wins at the Caribbean Pre-Cadet Table Tennis Championship in Jamaica last month.Kaysan dominated in the Boys’ Under-11 category, walking away with the gold – Guyana’s only gold medal at the regional competition, which was dictated by the Trinidad players, Ninvalle prevailed over Jalen Kerr in an exhilarating five-set match that ended 11-8, 9-11, 11-7, 9-11, 11-7.Being the only singles where Trinidad did not win made it all the more remarkable. Kaysan left this lasting impression in just his first time representing Guyana at an event.In other medal wins Ninvalle teamed up with Nirah Bissu to take silver in the Boys’ Under-13 doubles competition, and shared the Under-13 Mixed doubles second place win with Abigale Martin.Subsequently, Kaysan saw himself on the receiving end of support from several corporate entities that included lifetime membership at Gym 53, operated by famed Guyanese cricketer Ramnaresh Sarwan, and was furnished with a spanking new Samsung Galaxy S7 from Gizmos and Gadgets. He also received support from Dexter ‘Bushman’ Garnett, Colours Boutique and Chase Academy, making Kaysan somewhat of a little celebrity in his own right!“Every time I’m in the newspapers my teacher would bring the newspaper to school and show the class, and some of the students would congratulate me.” Kaysan said as he smiled.The backing has helped tremendously to encourage Kaysan, who shared that his older brother actually stopped playing the sport after being frustrated by the lack of support whenever teams needed to go overseas, and would often end up not being able to go.Kaysan hopes not to follow that path and the strong young man declares that he refuses to let his spirit be broken when things get bad, fully intending to persevere and always hoping for the best as time goes on.Nonetheless that will be no easy task. As many have learned, being a student athlete is no easy task. First Form student Kaysan trains six days a week, from 16:00hrs to 18:00hrs, Mondays to Fridays and 11:30hrs – 15:00hrs on Saturdays under popular local coach Linden Johnson.But Kaysan, for the time being, has been doing an admirable job balancing academics and sports, while still managing to enjoy the little things that childhood is all about.“It’s very, very hard but I just do what I have to do, I come, play then go home do my homework and then maybe try to watch some TV. Sometimes I have a lot of homework and I have to call Mr Johnson and tell him I can’t make it, but then I try to make it the next day.” He said. (tgarnett_sports@yahoo.com)last_img read more

Top Junior Players Record Upset Wins, Leadway Assurance in Flying Start

first_imgEnosoregbe beat Joel Sylvanus 6-2, 6-4 while Abdulmumin defeated Anthony Obekpa 6-2, 6-1.National women’s champion, Sarah Adegoke, proved too strong for Bunmi Aare winning6-2, 6-1.The men’s doubles match featuring doubles maestro Albert Bicom and Philip Abayomi against Next Gen’s Obekpa and John Dickson was a foregone conclusion as the Leadway Assurance team won 6-3, 6-3.In Ado Ekiti, Team Yetade snatched some bragging rights in their 2-5 overall losing effort to newcomers Team Luik of Lekki – Lagos.Junior champion, Omolayo Bamidele, brushed aside a 0-6 first set loss to upset top 10 women’s player, Ronke Akingbade, 0-6, 6-4, 10-7. The other win for Team Yetade came from Odeyemi Opeyemi who beat Rilwan Morakinyo 6-4, 6-4.In Kaduna, former League champions, Team Offikwu of Kaduna, starring Sylvester Emmanuel, Shehu Lawal, Henry Atseye and Christie Agugbom won all seven matches against Team SBL from Jos. The most interesting encounter was between top junior Favour Moses of Offikwu and Charity Patrick of Team SBL which the former won 6-1, 6-1.Other teams which won ties across the country are Team Anambra which beat hosts – Team Orofina of Warri – dropping only the mixed doubles match and Team Kalotari of Port Harcourt which defeated Team CBN Futures in Lagos 7-0.Six midweek ties have been scheduled to take place across the nation today and tomorrowThe top of the pick will be the tie between Team Leadway Assurance and Team Offikwu taking place at the National Stadium Lagos Tennis Centre.These two teams will feature six national champions between them. The other very promising tie will take place in Port Harcourt between Team Kalotari and Team Goshen of Ilorin. Emmanuel Idoko, Michael Michael, Nonso Madueke, Ikechukwu Iloputa and Patience Onebamhoin will have to weather the challenge of the Ilorin team which has Blessing Samuel, Sunday Emmanuel and hard-hitting Paul Emmanuel as their star players.The four other ties are: Team Yetade vs Team SBL in Ado Ekiti, Team Anambra vs Team CBN Futures in Onitsha, Team Orofina vs Team Tech Vibes in Warri and Team Luik vs Team Next Gen in Lekki – Lagos.The NCC Tennis league is offering a total prize money of N23 million with the winners getting N7millionShare this:FacebookRedditTwitterPrintPinterestEmailWhatsAppSkypeLinkedInTumblrPocketTelegram NCC TENNIS LEAGUETeam Leadway Assurance led by Babalola Abdulmumin and Clifford Enosorogbe – two active former national champions – brushed aside the challenge of Team Next Gen to win their first point in the NCC Tennis League in a tie which took place at the National Stadium Surulere, Lagos over the weekend.The upcoming younger players from Abuja were no match for the more experienced tennis stars who won all seven matches securing the tie with an unassailable 4-0 lead on the first day.last_img read more

Former Rangers Coach Imama Amapakabo Unveiled At His New Club

first_imgHighly rated Nigerian Professional Football League (NPFL) coach Imama Amapakabo has been unveiled as the new coach for Maiduguri-based outfit El-kanemi Warriors.The official unveiling ceremony, organised by El-Kanemi Warriors officials, took place on Tuesday.Amapakabo replaces former coach Ladan Bosso after penning a one-year deal with the NPFL club. Bosso had been in charge for the last two seasons.Coach Amakapabo rose to prominence worldwide after he led Rangers to their first league title in over 30 years before he was unceremoniously sacked last season.He was part of the coaching crew that led the home-based Eagles to a second place finish at the 2017 West Africa Football Union (WAFU) Cup and was also part of the coaching crew that qualified the team for the 2018 Africa Nations Championship in Morocco.Relatedlast_img read more